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  Where is Osama bin Laden?
So, Where is Osama bin Laden.  Based on the majority of articles, reports, and investigations it appears that Osama bin Laden is in either Afghanistan or Pakistan near the border tribal areas where there is no Pakistan or Afghanistan forces.  Where U.S. troops cannot infiltrate because of the resistance from Taliban strongholds throughout the region. To answer where Osama bin Laden is it depends on your schools of thoughts. One school believes that he is constantly on the run.  He is being rushed from one secret location to another.  If he is being moved, it must not be often.  Why would you make dangerous moves unless it is absolutely needed.  With U.S. drones and spy satellites looking for anything that looks like the movement of a high level Taliban or al Qaeda leader.  The second school of thought is that he is being protected in the compound of a powerful war lord that is sympathetic to the Taliban and or al Qaeda and does not have to move around at all.  Some of these compounds are like mazes with many ways to move from within its walls. 

One interesting rumor had him in Iran.  It is interesting because members of his family have been confirmed inside Iran.  This would make an incredible story amidst the current Iranian nuclear crisis that is heating up to a boil  Iran is connected to Pakistan and Afghanistan and slipping over the border into Iran from Afghanistan and then into Pakistan would be a benefit to Osama bin Laden.  One thing I noticed when Iran stated that members of the bin Laden family were being held in Iran there was nothing released by Osama bin Laden or messages regarding the matter.  There is a lot of talk and misinformation about how Shia and Sunni sects do no get along.  This may be true in some instances but overall does not trump the hatred they share for America and the West.  Iran benefits greatly by a war in Afghanistan.  They are able to play a part in the killing of Americans by proxy.  They can make and supply weapons and explosives.  Iran enjoys a spread thin American military because it makes it more unlikely that America would engage with force in the Iran nuclear crisis that is unfolding. Your enemy is my enemy is something that we can not overlook in discovering where Osama bin Laden is.

December 2009  A Taliban detainee in Pakistan claims to have information about Osama Bin Laden's whereabouts in January or February of 2009.  He claims that in January or February he met a trusted contact who had seen Bin Laden about 15 to 20 days earlier in Afghanistan. "In 2009, in January or February I met this friend of mine. He said he had come from meeting Sheikh Osama, and he could arrange for me to meet him," he said."He helps al-Qaeda people coming from other countries to get to the sheikh, so he can advise them on whatever they are planning for Europe or other places.  "The sheikh doesn't stay in any one place. That guy came from Ghazni, so I think that's where the sheikh was."  The province of Ghazni is located in eastern Afghanistan has experienced an increasingly strong Taliban presence. 

2/17/2009 Osama bin Laden is most likely hiding out in a walled compound in a Pakistani border town, according to a satellite-aided geographic analysis.  According to the study conducted by a research team led by geographer Thomas Gillespie of the University of California-Los Angeles using geographic analytical tools that have been successful in locating urban criminals and endangered species.  Basing their conclusion on nighttime satellite images and other techniques, the scientists suggest bin Laden may well be in one of three compounds in Parachinar, a town 12 miles from the Pakistan border. The research incorporates public reports of bin Laden's habits and whereabouts since his flight from the Tora Bora region of Afghanistan in 2001. 

"The combination of physical terrain, socio-cultural gravitational factors and the physical characteristic of structures are all important factors in developing an area limitation for terror suspects," say John Goolgasian of the federal National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency in Bethesda, Md. His spy satellite agency "looks forward to reviewing the article once it is published.

In essence the pinpointing of the world's most famous fugitive is based on older information as new information has been limited.  Terroristplanet.com actually did a pretty good job of narrowing down the regions of where Osama bin laden may be on the map below. 
Since September 11, 2001 Osama bin Laden has been on the minds of many Americans.  He and the organization he leads, al Qaeda, on "911" carried out the deadliest and most shocking terrorist attack ever to occur.  2,985 deaths resulted from the attacks including the nineteen terrorists.  He has been the focus of the biggest manhunt that has ever been carried out by the U.S. government that has reached across the globe and concentrated in the last few years on the Afghanistan - Pakistan border.

We know that initially prior to the 911 attacks he was in Afghanistan enjoying the hospitality and admiration of the Taliban Militant group that took control over the majority of the country in 1996.  In that same year Osama bin Laden arrived in Afghanistan after residing previously in Sudan.  He was asked to leave Sudan after U.S. pressure was applied by the Clinton Administration.  911 was not al Qaeda's first terrorist attack by no means, just the deadliest.  On August 7, 1998, at 10:30 a.m. local time, two Embassies of the United States of America, located in the East African cities of Nairobi, Kenya and Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, were attacked in coordinated truck bombings, later determined to have occurred approximately four minutes apart. In Nairobi, 213 people were killed in the blast, while 11 individuals died in the bombing at Dar es Salaam.

The Taliban supplied refuge and a base of operations for these activities to be planned and carried out.  The Taliban fell for bin Laden's view of how to deal with the rest of the world that did not accept the Taliban as the legitimate government of Afghanistan.  "Our prestige is spreading across the region because we have truly implemented Islam, and this makes the Americans and some neighbors very nervous," said Taliban Afghan Information Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi. That is putting it lightly. As militants from around the world flock to it for sanctuary  only increases its support for the wave of Talibanization it hopes to unleash on the region and beyond even today

The U.S. demanded the Taliban hand over Osama bin Laden after 911.  The Taliban leadership played cat and mouse with the United States until America attacked Afghanistan in October 2001.  Before we go into the latest sightings, speculations and reports of Where Osama bin Laden is, It is interesting to consider the following statement by Mullah Mohammed Omar, the leader of the Afghanistan Taliban who is being hunted in the same regions along the Afghanistan and Pakistan border areas as the hunt that is occurring for Osama bin Laden.  The two are unlikely together.  It is also unlikely that al Qaeda's number two Ayman Al Zawarhi is with bin Laden for obvious security and overall protection of the top leaders

"I am considering two promises. One is the promise of God, the other is that of Bush. The promise of God is that my land is vast. If you start a journey on God's path, you can reside anywhere on this earth and will be protected... The promise of Bush is that there is no place on earth where you can hide that I cannot find you. We will see which one of these two promises is fulfilled".
Mullah Mohammed Omar 
In rare interview with Voice of America in Pashtu September  2001
The trio of Osama bin Laden, Ayman al Zawarhi, and Afghanistan Taliban leader Mullah Mohammed Omar are all three being hunted as the main targets of U.S. and coalition forces.  The confidence displayed in the above quote is interesting as George Bush has less than 80 days left in his administration.  When Bush leaves office it surely is not the end of the man hunt for the Osama bin Laden and crew but it is a moral victory that surely will embolden al Qaeda and the Taliban,
Where is Osama bin Laden?  We don't have a clue where he is or even may be,” the Western analyst said. “We have had NO credible intelligence on OBL since 2001. All the rest is rumor and rubbish either whipped up by the media or churned out in the power corridors of western capitals."
In fact, say U.S. officials, the last time U.S. operatives saw Osama Bin Laden--other than in his own videos--was in the famous Predator video shot in August 2000 where he is seen walking with a security contingent near his compound at Tarnak Farms in eastern Afghanistan. The Predators had not been armed yet.
The last time the U.S. heard Osama Bin Laden was at the battle for Tora Bora, when an NSA operative overheard him giving orders on a frequency not normally monitored and not recorded. There were some initial concerns about the identification but the agency later learned from other sources and materials that indeed that had been him.
From here out we will continue to update this page whenever there is a report of  sightings of Osama bin Laden.  We will also update the map above to show the location. The important thing to remember is that credible evidence has been tough to come by in the past few years and the trail has grown cold in the past few years.  The most recent report will be below.  This map of sightings is current as of 11/01/2008
Friday, June 13, 2008:  A "Western military analyst" was asked earlier this month about reports that Osama Bin Laden was seen on the slopes of K2, the world’s second highest mountain on the Pakistan-China border, or in the Khost Province of Afghanistan. 
November 16, 2007 Ahmad Farooq, a Pakistani Taliban leader has told the Italian daily, Corriere della Sera, that he knows where bin Laden is. According to Farooq, bin Laden is moving between Chitral and the "corridor of Waqan", a region of Pakistan bordering China and Tajikstan. Swat Valley, 15 Nov. (AKI) - Al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden was hiding in the remote mountains on the Afghani-Pakistani border and moving constantly to avoid detection by intelligence agencies, according to a Taliban sympathiser.
Farooq gave many details about where bin Laden had been since September 11 2001 - hiding in the Afghan province of Khost until it became too dangerous for him. Then, he said, the al-Qaeda leader moved to the Chitral region, in northern Pakistan.
Farooq gave many details about where bin Laden had been since September 11 2001 - hiding in the Afghan province of Khost until it became too dangerous for him.  Then, he said, the al-Qaeda leader moved to the Chitral region, in northern Pakistan.
"I saw him for the last time on 17 September 2003 not far from Dir, my village, " he said. "His caravan was moving slowly. They told me he was not well. They didn't seem worried about being detected by the Americans.
"Instead, they were looking for medicines and a warm place for the night. In that area winter arrives early. With the first snow fall the passes are closed at more than 4,000 metres and you have to wait for spring.
"I think they only went to China in summer, when the paths are clear."
Sept. 7, 2007 :  Sources Tell CBS News U.S. Intelligence Believes Al Qeada Leader Is In Chitral District Of Northern Pakistan.  sources tell CBS News U.S. intelligence believes Osama bin Laden is hiding out in the Chitral district of northern Pakistan. A number of reports from human sources, including some alleged sightings, have put him there, reports CBS News national security correspondent David Martin. Chitral is a remote, rugged area governed by tribes that will not allow even the Pakistani army to operate there. "They have a code of hospitality for guests, and they've probably also gotten a fair amount of money from bin Laden," says Daniel Benjamin of the Brookings Institute, who tracked bin Laden during the Clinton administration. He believes bin Laden is surrounded by body guards armed with surface-to-air missiles and good intelligence. "I think it's quite likely he has a very good early warning system (and) that there are perimeters set up so people know who's coming and going in the area that he's living," Benjamin said.
Aug. 25, 2006  U.S. intelligence suspects al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden is hiding in Chitral, a region in northern Pakistan, the Pakistani Daily Times reported Aug. 25, citing anonymous intelligence officials. The sources based their conclusions on an examination of trees seen in bin Laden's video footage dating back to 2003 and the length of time it takes for audiotapes from bin Laden regarding recent events to reach the media. Bin Laden is believed to be living in house, possibly with a family, and to have only two bodyguards, the sources said.
5/24/06  Pakistani government sources tell ABC News they have "credible reports" that Osama bin Laden and his entourage have moved down from high mountainous peaks along the Afghan border to a valley area 40 miles inside the Pakistan border  The officials say the reports put bin Laden around Kohistan's Kumrat Valley.
Nov. 4, 2004 Reports, calculated leaks and intelligence are flowing thick and fast that bin Laden is not where he was originally thought to be - somewhere along the harsh Afghanistan-Pakistan border, running from cave to cave to escape intense shelling. This view has been further strengthened by the fact that the recent bin Laden tape, in which he addressed the American people, was delivered to the upscale Islamabad office of Arabic network television channel al-Jazeera. This has given credence to India's long-standing fear that most of al-Qaeda's operatives are holed up and living comfortably in urban hideouts in Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad, with the complicity of the Pakistan establishment  Asia Times
March 26, 2002 Afghan military officials working with US forces in Khost say that the top two leaders of Al Qaeda, Osama bin Laden and Ayman Al Zawahiri, have both been seen in the area over the past eight days.This is the second sighting of Mr. bin Laden's No. 2 in this area in the past month. Local forces may have their own motives for reporting a bin Laden sighting. But, if true, it would be the first evidence of bin Laden's continued presence in Afghanistan since he was seen at Tora Bora in November.  Christian Monitor
Nov 26, 2001  OSAMA bin Laden has been seen at a fortified encampment south west of the Afghan city of Jalalabad, it was reported over the weekend.  The fugitive terror chief was spotted by informants reporting to an official of one of the members of the Northern Alliance near a village deep in the Afghan mountains. And the informers revealed bin Laden now travelled only on horseback and at night, sleeping in caves and surrounded by up to 2,000 fiercely loyal guards who would protect him to the death, The New York Times reported.
More Facts Revealed By Interrogations, notebooks and computer hard drives captured or found regarding the where abouts and movements of Osama bin Laden.

Does He Live In Caves?  No he does not live in caves.  He is believed to be living in one of the interconnected large mud walled compounds that are prevalent in the area and the largest ones being owned by a local clan leader. 

Is He Always On The Run?  No, it is commonly accepted that he does not like to move often.  He is believed to stay for extended periods of time in a location.  The foreign al Qaeda members have taken wives and have married into the tribal areas and this has created a larger pool area for him to seek refuge in.  If he would continually be on the move he would be easier to find with drones and other methods.  It is believed that he only changes locations in the evening or at night after Evening Prayers.  The network of extended families that al Qaeda members have married into over the years has created an early warning system to keep him safe from troop movements and drones.

How is his health? As for his health, he is 50 years old, turning 51 (according to the best estimates) in July.  He does NOT have kidney failure and does NOT need dialysis.  He has had kidney stones.  He is also seen as somewhat of a hypochondriac. He is missing a toe, lost in a battle against the Soviets. He reportedly has an enlarged heart and chronically low blood pressure, which he treats with drugs.  There is even some dispute over his height.  Is he tall?  Yes.  Is he 6’5”?  Maybe not.  As one intelligence official told me, “If you see a guy who is 6’4” tall and looks like him, kill him.”

Is Osama bin Laden Surrounded By An Army?  His protection detail is believed to be controlled by his brother-in-law and believed to include Chechen and Uzbeks as well as Arabs.  The most important part of his protection is the monitoring of American, Afghanistan and Pakistani as well as other Coalition movements into areas where he is taking refuge.  When an area heats up as has happened in the past he will move locations well ahead of the manhunt.  If is whereabouts are discovered it is believed that there is sufficient firepower to enable time for an escape.

 

More Osama bin Laden Related links and Information
Osama bin Laden   An in depth look into the man that declared war on America.  He is responsible for  the September 11, 2001 attacks as well as numerous other terrorists act around the globe.
Ayman al Zawahiri Most terrorism experts consider Zawahiri more dangerous than bin Laden, both intellectually and ideologically. His influence is far-reaching; gaining footholds even among potential U.S. allies such as the Kurds in Iraq.
Mullah Mohammed Omar : The leader of the Afghanistan Taliban is still as he promised not in Custody. He is leading a resurgent Taliban while in hiding. He is wanted by the U.S. for harboring Osama bin laden and his role in the Afghanistan War.  He has strong connections with the Pakistan Intelligence Agency.
Al- Qaida    Al-Qa’ida was established by Usama Bin Ladin in 1988 with Arabs who fought in Afghanistan against the Soviet Union.  Mujahideen, Muslim fighters who fought the Soviets following their 1979 invasion of Afghanistan, were Al Qaeda's original primary membership base.  Helped finance, recruit, transport, and train Sunni Islamic extremists for the Afghan resistance. Goal is to unite Muslims to fight the United States as a means of defeating Israel, overthrowing regimes it deems “non-Islamic,”, and expelling Westerners and non-Muslims from Muslim countries. Eventual goal would be establishment of a pan-Islamic caliphate throughout the world.  Al Qaeda operated military training camps in Afghanistan from 1996 to 2001.  Al Qaeda issued a statement in February 1998 under the banner of “The World Islamic Front for Jihad Against the Jews and Crusaders” saying it was the duty of all Muslims to kill US citizens, civilian and military, and their allies everywhere.
Afghanistan  Afghanistan has become a major focal point in the war on terror.   Muslims  fundamentalist teachings and to receive training from camps set up for militants have arrived at this destination from around the globe. Afghanistan is a landlocked country of about 28 million people, bordered by Pakistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Iran. It is a land of mountains, plains, cold winters and hot summers – and is often threatened by earthquakes and floods. Ahmad Shah DURRANI unified the Pashtun tribes and founded Afghanistan in 1747. The country served as a buffer between the British and Russian empires until it won independence from notional British control in 1919.
 
 
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